The price of AGI
Dario Amodei just published another essay on AI risk. It’s calm, realistic, and deeply unsettling. His claim: within 1–2 years, AI will outperform Nobel-level experts in every field, work autonomously for weeks, and be deployed in millions of copies moving orders of magnitude faster than humans.
In earlier writing, he focused on the upside. This time, he focuses on what breaks before the future arrives.
What goes wrong first
• Work collapses: 50%+ of entry-level jobs could vanish in 3–5 years. AI replaces nearly all cognitive labor at once, there’s nowhere to retrain.
• Wea
Dario Amodei just published another essay on AI risk. It’s calm, realistic, and deeply unsettling. His claim: within 1–2 years, AI will outperform Nobel-level experts in every field, work autonomously for weeks, and be deployed in millions of copies moving orders of magnitude faster than humans.
In earlier writing, he focused on the upside. This time, he focuses on what breaks before the future arrives.
What goes wrong first
• Work collapses: 50%+ of entry-level jobs could vanish in 3–5 years. AI replaces nearly all cognitive labor at once, there’s nowhere to retrain.
• Wea
