💥 The next AI-triggered apocalypse might be started not by the U.S. or China but by a nuclear middle power

Two new reports from AI Conjecture expand the usual AI-geopolitics forecasts. Until now, all scenarios focused only on the two AI superpowers. The new view adds middle powers and the picture gets much darker.

The classic three doctrines

1. Dominance: First to advanced AI becomes permanently supreme.
2. Extinction: Superintelligence escapes control and wipes out humanity.
3. Replacement: AI accelerates progress but concentrates power dangerously.

Scenario 4: Preemptive strike

From RAN