⚠️ AI may out-research the best human team as soon as next year, the "AI 2027" authors now say
All six forecasters behind the AI 2027 scenario now expect a "superhuman AI researcher" sometime in 2027, unless the industry deliberately slows down. That is roughly when a company would rather fire all its human researchers and rely on AI alone than keep the world's best people without it.
Daniel Kokotajlo, the most bullish, moved his median from December 2028 to May 2027.
The biggest reason is a new METR report. It estimates Anthropic now makes AI progress about twice as fast as its historical
All six forecasters behind the AI 2027 scenario now expect a "superhuman AI researcher" sometime in 2027, unless the industry deliberately slows down. That is roughly when a company would rather fire all its human researchers and rely on AI alone than keep the world's best people without it.
Daniel Kokotajlo, the most bullish, moved his median from December 2028 to May 2027.
The biggest reason is a new METR report. It estimates Anthropic now makes AI progress about twice as fast as its historical
